Feralpisalò vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2019 |
FER
3 - 0
TRI
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
UAR
1 - 2
FER
17%
23%
60%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
PIA
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
IMO
0 - 1
FER
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
FCS
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 2
LEC
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
COM
1 - 1
LEC
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
LEC
1 - 1
JS2
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ABN
2 - 0
LEC
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
LEC
1 - 3
PIA
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |