Feralpisalò vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
40.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
USC
2 - 0
FER
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FER
1 - 2
TRA
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAV
1 - 2
FER
56%
25%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 2
FER
57%
26%
17%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FER
1 - 2
FRO
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
REG
2 - 0
CUN
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
REG
57%
25%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
REG
2 - 1
ACL
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
REG
0 - 2
ACD
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
REG
1 - 0
ACL
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |