Feralpisalò vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
USC
1 - 0
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
SPE
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SSB
0 - 1
FER
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FER
0 - 0
BV5
32%
28%
40%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LAT
0 - 1
FER
48%
27%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SPE
1 - 0
ACP
64%
23%
14%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 1
CAR
27%
27%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 2
ACP
57%
25%
18%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACP
0 - 0
USC
16%
24%
60%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PIA
4 - 3
ACP
79%
15%
6%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | -1 |