Feralpisalò vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GER
1 - 1
FER
39%
28%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
CTT
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CUN
1 - 0
FER
20%
25%
56%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
POR
3 - 2
FER
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
MAN
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAV
0 - 1
POR
46%
26%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ACL
3 - 2
PAV
27%
28%
46%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PAV
2 - 0
REG
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
PAV
23%
27%
51%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
PAV
0 - 2
USA
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |