Feralpisalò vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIC
4 - 1
FER
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
FER
33%
27%
41%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
LEO
31%
30%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ACL
1 - 0
FER
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 2
USC
30%
29%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PAV
1 - 1
CAR
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VNZ
2 - 2
PAV
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
PAV
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 0
FCS
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SAV
1 - 0
PAV
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |