Feralpisalò vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CUN
2 - 0
FER
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
FER
3 - 0
TRE
62%
22%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FER
4 - 0
LEC
7%
19%
75%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
FER
71%
20%
9%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 0
FER
48%
28%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
PAV
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PAV
1 - 0
REG
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ABN
0 - 0
PAV
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 2
TRA
38%
27%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
USC
0 - 1
PAV
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |