Feralpisalò vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ACL
1 - 1
FER
29%
28%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
ABN
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
FER
18%
25%
57%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
PIA
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
REG
3 - 0
FER
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
CTT
11%
22%
67%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 2
BV5
20%
26%
54%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GER
0 - 0
MAN
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 3
PAD
20%
26%
54%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ACL
3 - 2
MAN
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |