Feralpisalò vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 2
FER
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
MOD
25%
27%
49%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
FER
45%
27%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
FER
2 - 3
REG
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 2
FER
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ACL
0 - 1
ASG
44%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
ACL
76%
17%
7%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ACL
2 - 0
TER
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ACL
0 - 2
GER
43%
28%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
REN
0 - 2
ACL
32%
29%
40%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |