Feralpisalò vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
USC
3 - 1
FER
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FER
2 - 0
VNZ
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VIC
3 - 1
FER
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
INT
2 - 0
FER
91%
7%
2%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FER
3 - 1
CUN
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VNZ
5 - 3
ACL
31%
27%
43%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ACL
1 - 2
LEO
51%
26%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
ACL
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ACL
3 - 0
MAS
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ACL
2 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |