Fenrir vs Ægir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ægir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AEG
0 - 3
EIN
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
AEG
2 - 3
KFG
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
KVR
3 - 3
AEG
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AEG
0 - 1
KFF
23%
23%
53%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AEG
2 - 0
SIN
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |