Fénix vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
DAN
2 - 1
FEN
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
FEN
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CER
1 - 2
FEN
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
FEN
1 - 3
DEF
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LFC
2 - 3
FEN
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 5
RIV
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DAN
0 - 2
RIV
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 1
CER
69%
18%
12%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 2
RIV
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |