Fénix vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
5º
4º
8
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
FEN
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 2
DEF
36%
28%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 0
RIV
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 3
FEN
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FEN
3 - 1
MWA
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
DEP
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MWA
4 - 2
PRO
35%
27%
39%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 2
RAC
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 0
SLO
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 2
PEÑ
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |