Fénix vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 4
FEN
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
FEN
1 - 1
REN
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
LFC
5 - 4
FEN
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
FEN
2 - 3
RAC
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CSC
1 - 1
FEN
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CSC
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 7
PEÑ
18%
23%
59%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
NAC
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MWA
1 - 5
PEÑ
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
REN
81%
14%
6%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |