Fénix vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 0
FEN
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
FEN
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
FEN
1 - 2
MAR
73%
17%
11%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
FEN
2 - 1
VEL
60%
21%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
ONC
3 - 0
FEN
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SFE
2 - 2
ONC
36%
29%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
ONC
4 - 0
HUI
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
AME
1 - 0
ONC
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
ONC
2 - 1
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
IND
2 - 0
ONC
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |