Fénix vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CSY
1 - 2
FEN
38%
27%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 1
TOR
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
FEN
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FEN
3 - 1
REN
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
FEN
2 - 1
MWA
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
PLA
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SUD
0 - 2
NAC
27%
28%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
PRO
72%
18%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 1
NAC
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |