Fénix vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
CER
3 - 1
FEN
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FEN
5 - 1
CEL
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LFC
0 - 2
FEN
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FEN
1 - 2
DAN
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
CSM
76%
17%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CER
1 - 3
NAC
24%
26%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
CEL
71%
19%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |