Fénix vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
14º
13º
12
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 2
FEN
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 0
JUN
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RIV
4 - 3
FEN
60%
22%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FEN
0 - 0
CSM
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
BOS
2 - 0
FEN
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 1
CER
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CER
0 - 1
CSM
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 1
CER
45%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
CER
0 - 5
PEÑ
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
CER
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |