Fénix vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 1
FEN
59%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FEN
1 - 1
CEL
58%
23%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
DAN
4 - 0
FEN
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
FEN
2 - 1
BVS
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
FEN
0 - 0
UCH
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CER
1 - 0
MWA
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
REN
1 - 0
CER
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CER
0 - 0
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
JUN
0 - 1
CER
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CER
3 - 1
CSC
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |