Fénix vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 0
FEN
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 1
LFC
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CSC
2 - 4
FEN
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 2
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CSY
1 - 2
FEN
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 0
PLA
39%
28%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
SUD
0 - 0
CEL
30%
28%
43%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 0
PRO
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 1
DEP
58%
24%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 4
CEL
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |