Fénix vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LFC
0 - 2
FEN
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FEN
1 - 2
DAN
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
FEN
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FEN
2 - 1
CSM
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 1
CSM
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
CEL
71%
19%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 1
RAC
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CER
2 - 1
CEL
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 2
LFC
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |