Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 3-2
Fénix vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LIG
2 - 0
FEN
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
JUN
2 - 1
FEN
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
FEN
3 - 2
DEF
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
FEN
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
FEN
1 - 2
PRO
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 1
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 2
IVT
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 1
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
BSC
0 - 0
NAC
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |