Fénix vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 3
FEN
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
FEN
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 2
FEN
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
MWA
2 - 1
FEN
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FEN
2 - 2
NAC
21%
25%
55%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BVS
0 - 1
RIV
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BVS
3 - 4
NAC
17%
25%
58%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BVS
5 - 2
JUV
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
PRO
2 - 2
BVS
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BVS
3 - 3
LFC
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |