Fénix vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
FEN
0 - 0
UCH
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ETS
0 - 2
FEN
34%
28%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
UCH
1 - 0
FEN
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ETS
0 - 1
FEN
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
FEN
4 - 1
RIV
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 0
BVS
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
BVS
1 - 1
UCO
32%
25%
44%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 2
BVS
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BVS
0 - 1
CER
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FEN
2 - 2
BVS
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |