Fénix vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
DAN
3 - 0
FEN
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FEN
1 - 2
RIV
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ETS
0 - 3
FEN
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FEN
0 - 0
SUD
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
FEN
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ATE
1 - 0
REN
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
5 - 3
ATE
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ATE
1 - 4
JUN
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MWA
1 - 2
ATE
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RAC
3 - 2
ATE
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |