Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda Final
Global 5-2
Fenerbahçe vs FC Vaslui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
FEN
0 - 0
WIS
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
FEN
1 - 1
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 4
FEN
25%
23%
52%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
FEN
0 - 0
GAL
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 3
FEN
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaslui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 0
PET
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
RAP
2 - 2
VAS
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 0
UCL
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 2
VAS
45%
28%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |