Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Fenerbahçe vs Sivasspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
HAT
0 - 3
FEN
11%
20%
69%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
FEN
3 - 1
TRA
57%
21%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GIR
1 - 1
FEN
12%
20%
68%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
SIV
0 - 0
FEN
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SIV
1 - 3
FEN
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sivasspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
GAL
2 - 0
SIV
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
SIV
1 - 2
KAS
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
UMR
4 - 1
SIV
23%
25%
53%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
SIV
0 - 0
FEN
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SIV
1 - 3
FEN
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |