Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1986 |
SAR
1 - 1
FEN
38%
29%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1986 |
FEN
3 - 0
KOC
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
ANK
0 - 0
FEN
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
FEN
0 - 0
BUR
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
BJK
3 - 1
FEN
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Samsunspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1986 |
SAM
2 - 0
MAL
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
KAY
0 - 5
SAM
42%
32%
26%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
SAM
2 - 1
DEN
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
ALT
3 - 1
SAM
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAR
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |