Champions League 1/16
Global 3-7
Fenerbahçe vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
FEN
2 - 1
ADA
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
FEN
2 - 0
BUR
70%
20%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
KIR
0 - 4
FEN
31%
30%
39%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
FEN
0 - 1
TRA
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
FEN
0 - 1
TRA
60%
25%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
PSV
1 - 0
GAE
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
GAE
1 - 1
PSV
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
HFC
0 - 5
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
PSV
3 - 1
AZA
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |