Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-2
Fenerbahçe vs Petrolul Ploiesti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
FEN
1 - 1
FER
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1963 |
FEN
4 - 1
BEY
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1963 |
FEN
2 - 0
BEY
82%
12%
6%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1963 |
IST
0 - 0
FEN
31%
26%
44%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1963 |
BEY
2 - 0
FEN
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Petrolul Ploiesti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
BIH
0 - 0
PET
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
PET
3 - 0
TIM
57%
22%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1963 |
UTA
2 - 1
PET
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1963 |
PET
4 - 0
FCM
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1963 |
CSM
1 - 1
PET
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |