Europa League 1/32
Global 2-3
Fenerbahçe vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
FEN
4 - 1
KAR
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
FEN
6 - 2
SAM
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1998 |
FEN
1 - 0
GÖT
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1998 |
ADA
0 - 3
FEN
14%
22%
64%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
FEN
3 - 0
GEN
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
PAR
0 - 0
VIC
66%
21%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
PAR
3 - 0
GEN
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
PAR
1 - 3
BRE
71%
19%
11%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
ACM
1 - 1
PAR
42%
28%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
PAR
2 - 2
SAM
52%
24%
24%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |