Fenerbahçe vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FEN
2 - 1
MER
76%
17%
8%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SIV
0 - 0
FEN
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
FEN
1 - 1
SPA
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FEN
3 - 0
GAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 1
FEN
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ASN
0 - 1
MAR
23%
26%
52%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
REN
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
SHF
71%
19%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MPL
0 - 1
MAR
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
SHF
1 - 2
MAR
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |