Europa League 1/16
Global 2-4
Fenerbahçe vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
FEN
0 - 0
VEF
74%
18%
8%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
FEN
3 - 1
BUR
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
NIC
4 - 0
FEN
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
FEN
2 - 1
ALT
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
ARG
1 - 1
FEN
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1973 |
NIC
2 - 1
GIR
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1973 |
NAN
1 - 1
NIC
53%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
NIC
4 - 1
ASS
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
NIC
4 - 0
FEN
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
MON
1 - 1
NIC
37%
29%
34%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |