Qualif. Champions 3ra Ronda Final
Global 3-4
Fenerbahçe vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 0
FEN
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 1
PAN
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
FEN
3 - 1
VOL
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 2
CSM
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
FEN
0 - 3
GOT
75%
18%
8%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
MON
1 - 3
ZEN
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 1
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
MON
4 - 1
SCP
28%
25%
48%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
2 - 1
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
SIO
3 - 3
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |