Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-3
Fenerbahçe vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
FEN
4 - 0
ALT
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1963 |
FEN
0 - 0
ALT
70%
17%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
FEN
5 - 2
ANK
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
FEN
2 - 0
ANK
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1963 |
PET
1 - 0
FEN
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
ESB
0 - 0
LIN
57%
19%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
LIN
1 - 2
ESB
54%
19%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1961 |
VOW
3 - 0
LIN
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1959 |
GÖT
6 - 1
LIN
71%
16%
14%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1959 |
LIN
2 - 1
GÖT
53%
21%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |