Europa League 1/32
Global 1-3
Fenerbahçe vs Ruch Chorzów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
FEN
2 - 1
ALT
66%
22%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
TUR
1 - 1
FEN
21%
33%
46%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
RCH
3 - 0
FEN
56%
24%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
FEN
4 - 0
ADA
75%
18%
7%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
SAM
1 - 1
FEN
22%
34%
43%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
RCH
3 - 0
LPO
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
WAR
0 - 0
RCH
49%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
RCH
3 - 0
FEN
56%
24%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1972 |
RCH
3 - 1
ZAG
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1972 |
TSP
0 - 0
RCH
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |