Fenerbahçe vs Kocaelispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
KAY
0 - 2
FEN
35%
27%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
FEN
3 - 1
SIV
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
FEN
4 - 2
SIV
67%
19%
13%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 0
FEN
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
FEN
7 - 0
HAC
83%
13%
5%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Kocaelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
KOC
1 - 0
ESK
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
BUR
1 - 1
KOC
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 5
KOC
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
KOC
1 - 2
KAY
27%
27%
47%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
SIV
2 - 0
KOC
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |