Fenerbahçe vs Kocaelispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
12%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1987 |
RIZ
2 - 1
FEN
35%
31%
34%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
FEN
2 - 2
ALT
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1987 |
BJK
4 - 0
FEN
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
FEN
1 - 1
ANK
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
SAR
3 - 1
FEN
38%
30%
33%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kocaelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1987 |
KOC
2 - 0
GEN
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
GAL
2 - 1
KOC
82%
13%
6%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1987 |
KOC
4 - 0
DIY
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
TRA
1 - 1
KOC
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
KOC
1 - 0
ESK
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |