Champions League 1/16
Global 5-2
Fenerbahçe vs Jeunesse d'Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
ALT
1 - 2
FEN
34%
32%
34%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
FEN
4 - 0
ZON
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
JEU
2 - 3
FEN
40%
28%
31%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
FEN
3 - 2
SAM
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
TRA
0 - 1
FEN
28%
34%
38%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Jeunesse d'Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
JEU
2 - 3
FEN
40%
28%
31%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
LIV
2 - 0
JEU
93%
5%
2%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
JEU
1 - 1
LIV
10%
23%
67%
|
64 | 91 | 27 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
PAN
5 - 0
JEU
64%
18%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
JEU
1 - 2
PAN
48%
22%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |