Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
7º
2º
34
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 79 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 59 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 53 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 53 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 50 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 49 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 45 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 42 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 36 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
19º
|
5 | 32 |
18º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 25 |
19º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
29.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
65.5% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
4% | 10% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
FEN
0 - 0
LYO
32%
23%
46%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ADA
0 - 4
FEN
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2025 |
KON
2 - 3
FEN
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
KAS
0 - 3
FEN
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
FEN
2 - 1
HAT
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Göztepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GOZ
1 - 0
ANT
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2025 |
GOZ
5 - 0
KAS
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
ERZ
0 - 1
GOZ
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
GAL
2 - 1
GOZ
56%
22%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
GOZ
1 - 2
MAN
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |