Champions League Last 16
Global 1-3
Fenerbahçe vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1961 |
GEN
1 - 1
FEN
36%
24%
40%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1961 |
ANK
1 - 3
FEN
20%
23%
57%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
FEN
0 - 1
SEK
86%
9%
4%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1961 |
FEN
1 - 0
ANK
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
ALT
3 - 1
FEN
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1961 |
BYM
1 - 1
FCN
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
FCN
3 - 0
KSC
75%
15%
11%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
VFR
1 - 4
FCN
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
FCN
5 - 0
STU
81%
12%
7%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
DRU
1 - 4
FCN
17%
19%
64%
|
63 | 10 | 53 | 0 |