Champions League 1/16
Global 4-3
Fenerbahçe vs Csepel SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1959 |
FEN
5 - 1
VEF
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1959 |
FEN
1 - 1
KAS
85%
10%
5%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1959 |
FEN
2 - 1
FER
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1959 |
FEN
4 - 0
GAL
57%
20%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1959 |
GAL
1 - 0
FEN
54%
21%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |