Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Fenerbahçe vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
48%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BJK
1 - 2
FEN
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
FEN
3 - 0
KAS
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
KON
1 - 4
FEN
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
FEN
4 - 1
MAN
77%
15%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
SEV
3 - 2
FEN
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CHL
1 - 0
MID
79%
15%
6%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
CHL
2 - 1
ARS
52%
25%
23%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
TOT
4 - 4
CHL
38%
27%
36%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
SUN
0 - 1
CHL
15%
26%
60%
|
96 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
CHL
6 - 1
DER
81%
14%
5%
|
96 | 69 | 27 | 0 |