Europa League 1/32
Global 5-3
Fenerbahçe vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1992 |
KON
1 - 5
FEN
18%
25%
57%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
FEN
0 - 1
SAR
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
GAZ
2 - 3
FEN
25%
26%
50%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
FEN
4 - 0
BAK
80%
13%
7%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1992 |
FEN
8 - 4
GAZ
84%
12%
5%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1992 |
YAN
1 - 0
BOT
31%
29%
41%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1992 |
BOT
3 - 1
CHB
71%
18%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
SSO
1 - 0
BOT
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
BOT
2 - 2
LSO
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1992 |
FKH
1 - 3
BOT
31%
29%
41%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |