Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
TRA
2 - 3
FEN
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
FEN
4 - 0
GAL
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
FEN
3 - 0
DEN
81%
13%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
MAN
5 - 3
FEN
26%
24%
51%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
FEN
3 - 0
SIV
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 1
BJK
29%
25%
47%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
BJK
0 - 1
SIV
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
BJK
2 - 0
GAZ
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
GAZ
2 - 2
BJK
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
BJK
2 - 2
MAL
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |