Cup Final
Global 1-3
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
MAL
2 - 1
FEN
34%
24%
42%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
SAR
3 - 4
FEN
41%
27%
33%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1989 |
FEN
1 - 0
MAL
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1989 |
FEN
4 - 1
KON
86%
10%
4%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
BUR
0 - 1
FEN
28%
28%
44%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
BJK
3 - 1
KON
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
TRA
2 - 1
BJK
49%
27%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1989 |
KON
1 - 2
BJK
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
BJK
0 - 1
GAL
53%
26%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
ADA
1 - 1
BJK
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |