Europa League 1/32
Global 1-3
Fenerbahçe vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
ADA
1 - 1
FEN
40%
31%
29%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
FEN
1 - 1
ZON
64%
23%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
ORD
0 - 1
FEN
42%
30%
28%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
BUR
1 - 1
FEN
40%
31%
29%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1980 |
FEN
1 - 0
ALT
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
CSK
7 - 0
BER
63%
21%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
BER
4 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
FKM
2 - 1
BER
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
BER
2 - 2
OFK
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1980 |
LSO
2 - 0
BER
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |