Europa League 1/16
Global 5-5
Fenerbahçe vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
RIZ
2 - 1
FEN
18%
24%
58%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
FEN
2 - 1
GEN
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2007 |
FEN
2 - 1
GEN
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
KAY
1 - 1
FEN
19%
23%
57%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
IST
0 - 5
FEN
8%
16%
77%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
PSV
2 - 3
AZA
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
AZA
3 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
AZA
5 - 0
MVV
88%
9%
3%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2007 |
ADO
1 - 3
AZA
14%
20%
66%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |