Qualif. Champions Play Offs Final
Global 0-5
Fenerbahçe vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
54.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
KON
3 - 2
FEN
13%
24%
63%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GAL
1 - 0
FEN
46%
23%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
FEN
3 - 1
RBS
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
RBS
1 - 1
FEN
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
BOL
0 - 4
FEN
16%
23%
61%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 3
ASV
72%
17%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ARS
3 - 1
MAC
46%
25%
30%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 2
GAL
70%
18%
12%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 2
NAP
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2013 |
NAG
1 - 3
ARS
14%
20%
66%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |