Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
7º
1º
3
9º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
13 | 67 |
1º
|
27% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 67 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 60 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 58 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 57 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
19º
|
1 | 53 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 53 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 51 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 50 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
3 | 49 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 48 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 47 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 46 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 46 |
14º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 45 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 43 |
16º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 37 |
17º
|
12.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 34 |
18º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 32 |
19º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
27% | 1% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
27.5% | 1.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
13% | 5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
9% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
23.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RIZ
0 - 5
FEN
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GOZ
2 - 2
FEN
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 1
LIL
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 0
ADA
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 1
FEN
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alanyaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
GOZ
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
IST
4 - 2
ALA
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
EYU
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
ANT
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALA
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |