Champions League Last 16
Global 0-4
Fenerbahçe vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
GAL
1 - 1
FEN
44%
30%
27%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1968 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEN
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
TUR
2 - 1
FEN
33%
31%
37%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1968 |
FEN
0 - 3
IST
67%
21%
11%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
GOZ
1 - 1
FEN
40%
29%
31%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
MVV
2 - 2
AJA
18%
25%
58%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
AJA
0 - 1
FEY
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1968 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEN
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
TWE
5 - 1
AJA
30%
26%
45%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
AJA
9 - 2
TEL
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |